Globalization, the Business Cycle, and Macroeconomic Monitoring /

We propose and implement a framework for characterizing and monitoring the global business cycle. Our framework utilizes high-frequency data, allows us to account for a potentially large amount of missing observations, and is designed to facilitate the updating of global activity estimates as data a...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. Verfasser: Aruoba, S. Boragan
Weitere Verfasser: Diebold, Francis, Kose, Ayhan, Terrones, Marco
Format: Zeitschrift
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2011.
Schriftenreihe:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2011/025
Online Zugang:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Aruoba, S. Boragan. 
245 1 0 |a Globalization, the Business Cycle, and Macroeconomic Monitoring /  |c S. Boragan Aruoba, Marco Terrones, Ayhan Kose, Francis Diebold. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2011. 
300 |a 1 online resource (52 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a We propose and implement a framework for characterizing and monitoring the global business cycle. Our framework utilizes high-frequency data, allows us to account for a potentially large amount of missing observations, and is designed to facilitate the updating of global activity estimates as data are released and revisions become available. We apply the framework to the G-7 countries and study various aspects of national and global business cycles, obtaining three main results. First, our measure of the global business cycle, the common G-7 real activity factor, explains a significant amount of cross-country variation and tracks the major global cyclical events of the past forty years. Second, the common G-7 factor and the idiosyncratic country factors play different roles at different times in shaping national economic activity. Finally, the degree of G-7 business cycle synchronization among country factors has changed over time. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Diebold, Francis. 
700 1 |a Kose, Ayhan. 
700 1 |a Terrones, Marco. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2011/025 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2011/025/001.2011.issue-025-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library