Exploration of the Brazilian Term Structure in a Hidden Markov Framework /

We apply a hidden Markov model of the term structure to modeling the Brazilian swap rate curve. We examine the model's characteristics and its performance in describing the cross-sectional and time-series dynamics of the term structure. Two regimes are identified, a high level and a high volati...

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Bibliografiske detaljer
Hovedforfatter: Munclinger, Richard
Format: Tidsskrift
Sprog:English
Udgivet: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2011.
Serier:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2011/022
Online adgang:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Exploration of the Brazilian Term Structure in a Hidden Markov Framework /  |c Richard Munclinger. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2011. 
300 |a 1 online resource (31 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a We apply a hidden Markov model of the term structure to modeling the Brazilian swap rate curve. We examine the model's characteristics and its performance in describing the cross-sectional and time-series dynamics of the term structure. Two regimes are identified, a high level and a high volatility regime and a low level and low volatility regime. Both regimes are persistent and are explained by the level and the slope of the term structure. The model is estimated using a Bayesian MCM algorithm that produces consistent standard errors and a reliable method for testing the differences between the model parameters. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2011/022 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2011/022/001.2011.issue-022-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library