Interpreting Currency Movements During the Crisis : What's the Role of Interest Rate Differentials? /

Using an adaptation of the Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) condition, this paper analyzes the drivers behind the large, symmetric exchange rate swings observed during the financial crisis of 2008-2010. Employing a Nelson-Siegel model, we estimate yield curves and decompose the exchange rate movement...

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Bibliografske podrobnosti
Glavni avtor: Dowling, Thomas
Drugi avtorji: Batini, Nicoletta
Format: Revija
Jezik:English
Izdano: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2011.
Serija:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2011/014
Online dostop:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Interpreting Currency Movements During the Crisis :   |b What's the Role of Interest Rate Differentials? /  |c Thomas Dowling, Nicoletta Batini. 
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300 |a 1 online resource (44 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
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520 3 |a Using an adaptation of the Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) condition, this paper analyzes the drivers behind the large, symmetric exchange rate swings observed during the financial crisis of 2008-2010. Employing a Nelson-Siegel model, we estimate yield curves and decompose the exchange rate movements into changes we attribute to monetary policy and a residual. We find that the depreciation phase of the currencies in our sample was largely dominated by safe-haven effects rather than carry trade activity or other return considerations. For some countries, however, the appreciation that began at the end of 2008 seems largely to reflect downward movement in the cumulative revisions to nominal forward differentials, suggesting carry trade. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Batini, Nicoletta. 
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