How Does Trade Evolve in the Aftermath of Financial Crises? /
We analyze trade dynamics following past episodes of financial crises. Using an augmented gravity model and 179 crisis episodes from 1970-2009, we find that there is a sharp decline in a country's imports in the year following a crisis-19 percent, on average-and this decline is persistent, with...
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| Daljnji autori: | , |
| Format: | Žurnal |
| Jezik: | English |
| Izdano: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2011.
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| Serija: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2011/003 |
| Online pristup: | Full text available on IMF |
| Sažetak: | We analyze trade dynamics following past episodes of financial crises. Using an augmented gravity model and 179 crisis episodes from 1970-2009, we find that there is a sharp decline in a country's imports in the year following a crisis-19 percent, on average-and this decline is persistent, with imports recovering to their gravity-predicted levels only after 10 years. In contrast, exports of the crisis country are not adversely affected, and they remain close to the predicted level in both the short and medium-term. |
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| Opis djela: | <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required |
| Opis: | 1 online resource (54 pages) |
| Format: | Mode of access: Internet |
| ISSN: | 1018-5941 |
| Pristup: | Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students |