A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine : How Do Global Growth Dynamics Affect Commodity Prices? /

This paper investigates the causes of extreme fluctuations in commodity prices from 1990 to 2010. Analyzing two very distinct commodities-crude oil and fine wine, we find that macroeconomic factors are the main determinants of commodity prices. Although supply constraints have the expected effect, a...

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Hlavní autor: Saadi Sedik, Tahsin
Další autoři: Cevik, Serhan
Médium: Časopis
Jazyk:English
Vydáno: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2011.
Edice:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2011/001
On-line přístup:Full text available on IMF
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264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2011. 
300 |a 1 online resource (19 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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520 3 |a This paper investigates the causes of extreme fluctuations in commodity prices from 1990 to 2010. Analyzing two very distinct commodities-crude oil and fine wine, we find that macroeconomic factors are the main determinants of commodity prices. Although supply constraints have the expected effect, aggregate demand growth is the key factor. The empirical results show that while advanced economies account for more than half of global consumption, emerging economies make up the bulk of the incremental change in demand, thereby having a greater weight in commodity price formation. The results also show that the shift in the composition of aggregate commodity demand is a recent phenomenon. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Cevik, Serhan. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2011/001 
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