Emerging Asia's Impact on Australian Growth : Some Insights From GEM /

Over the last decade, GDP growth in emerging Asia was roughly twice as fast as average world growth. The IMF's Global Economy Model (GEM) is used to estimate the impact that emerging Asia's growth differential has had on Australia. The simulation analysis, which replicates some key feature...

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書目詳細資料
主要作者: Hunt, Benjamin
格式: 雜誌
語言:English
出版: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
叢編:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2010/262
在線閱讀:Full text available on IMF
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520 3 |a Over the last decade, GDP growth in emerging Asia was roughly twice as fast as average world growth. The IMF's Global Economy Model (GEM) is used to estimate the impact that emerging Asia's growth differential has had on Australia. The simulation analysis, which replicates some key features from the last decade, suggests that roughly 25 percent of Australia's growth over the last decade has been from emerging Asia's growth differential over that period. Looking ahead, the analysis suggests that should emerging Asia continue to grow in a similar fashion, Australia's growth dividend could almost double. On the other hand, if growth in emerging Asia remained strong, but became more balanced across the tradable and nontradable goods sectors then Australia's growth dividend would be slightly lower than the estimate for the last decade. 
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