Nonperforming Loans in the GCC Banking System and their Macroeconomic Effects /

According to a dynamic panel estimated over 1995 - 2008 on around 80 banks in the GCC region, the NPL ratio worsens as economic growth becomes lower and interest rates and risk aversion increase. Our model implies that the cumulative effect of macroeconomic shocks over a three year horizon is indeed...

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Glavni avtor: Espinoza, Raphael
Drugi avtorji: Prasad, Ananthakrishnan
Format: Revija
Jezik:English
Izdano: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Serija:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2010/224
Online dostop:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Espinoza, Raphael. 
245 1 0 |a Nonperforming Loans in the GCC Banking System and their Macroeconomic Effects /  |c Raphael Espinoza, Ananthakrishnan Prasad. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2010. 
300 |a 1 online resource (24 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a According to a dynamic panel estimated over 1995 - 2008 on around 80 banks in the GCC region, the NPL ratio worsens as economic growth becomes lower and interest rates and risk aversion increase. Our model implies that the cumulative effect of macroeconomic shocks over a three year horizon is indeed large. Firm-specific factors related to risk-taking and efficiency are also related to future NPLs. The paper finally investigates the feedback effect of increasing NPLs on growth using a VAR model. According to the panel VAR, there could be a strong, albeit short-lived feedback effect from losses in banks' balance sheets on economic activity, with a semi-elasticity of around 0.4. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Prasad, Ananthakrishnan. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2010/224 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2010/224/001.2010.issue-224-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library