Price of Risk : Recent Evidence From Large Financials /

Probability of default (PD) measures have been widely used in estimating potential losses of, and contagion among, large financial institutions. In a period of financial stress however, the existing methods to compute PDs and generate loss estimates that may vary significantly. This paper discusses...

Ամբողջական նկարագրություն

Մատենագիտական մանրամասներ
Հիմնական հեղինակ: Singh, Manmohan
Այլ հեղինակներ: Youssef, Karim
Ձևաչափ: Ամսագիր
Լեզու:English
Հրապարակվել է: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Շարք:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2010/190
Առցանց հասանելիություն:Full text available on IMF
Նկարագրություն
Ամփոփում:Probability of default (PD) measures have been widely used in estimating potential losses of, and contagion among, large financial institutions. In a period of financial stress however, the existing methods to compute PDs and generate loss estimates that may vary significantly. This paper discusses three issues that should be taken into account in using PD-based methodologies for loss or contagion analyses: (i) the use of - risk-neutral probabilities - vs. -real-world probabilities; - (ii) the divergence between movements in credit and equity markets during periods of financial stress; and (iii) the assumption of stochastic vs. fixed recovery for financial institutions' assets. All three elements have nontrivial implications for providing an accurate estimate of default probabilities and associated losses as inputs for setting policies related to large banks in distress.
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Ֆիզիկական նկարագրություն:1 online resource (12 pages)
Ձևաչափ:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
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