Still Minding the Gap-Inflation Dynamics during Episodes of Persistent Large Output Gaps /

This paper studies inflation dynamics during 25 historical episodes in advanced economies where output remained well below potential for an extended period. We find that such episodes generally brought about significant disinflation, underpinned by weak labor markets, slowing wage growth, and, in ma...

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Bibliografske podrobnosti
Glavni avtor: Meier, Andre
Format: Revija
Jezik:English
Izdano: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Serija:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2010/189
Online dostop:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Meier, Andre. 
245 1 0 |a Still Minding the Gap-Inflation Dynamics during Episodes of Persistent Large Output Gaps /  |c Andre Meier. 
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300 |a 1 online resource (36 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper studies inflation dynamics during 25 historical episodes in advanced economies where output remained well below potential for an extended period. We find that such episodes generally brought about significant disinflation, underpinned by weak labor markets, slowing wage growth, and, in many cases, falling oil prices. Indeed, inflation declined by about the same fraction of the initial inflation rate across episodes. That said, disinflation has tended to taper off at very low positive inflation rates, arguably reflecting downward nominal rigidities and well-anchored inflation expectations. Temporary inflation increases during episodes were, in turn, systematically related to currency depreciation or higher oil prices. Overall, the historical patterns suggest little upside inflation risk in advanced economies facing the prospect of persistent large output gaps. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2010/189 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2010/189/001.2010.issue-189-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library