Local Housing Market Cycle and Loss Given Default : Evidence from Sub-Prime Residential Mortgages /

This paper studies the impact of housing market cycles on loss given default (LGD). Previous studies have shown that the current loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) is the most important determinant of LGD. This paper establishes another linkage which is between the house price cycles before the time of mort...

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Xehetasun bibliografikoak
Egile nagusia: Zhang, Yanan
Beste egile batzuk: Ji, Lu, Liu, Fei
Formatua: Aldizkaria
Hizkuntza:English
Argitaratua: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Saila:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2010/167
Sarrera elektronikoa:Full text available on IMF
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020 |z 9781455201785 
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100 1 |a Zhang, Yanan. 
245 1 0 |a Local Housing Market Cycle and Loss Given Default :   |b Evidence from Sub-Prime Residential Mortgages /  |c Yanan Zhang, Lu Ji, Fei Liu. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2010. 
300 |a 1 online resource (29 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper studies the impact of housing market cycles on loss given default (LGD). Previous studies have shown that the current loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) is the most important determinant of LGD. This paper establishes another linkage which is between the house price cycles before the time of mortgage origination and LGD. The empirical analysis is based on a large loan-level sub-prime residential mortgage loss dataset from 1998 to 2009. Results show that house price history has a long memory in explaining LGD. Its explanatory power far exceeds the original LTV and other loan characteristics. This paper offers a countercyclical view of LGD risk. The model can be combined with a default probability model to serve as a regulatory prudential tool. Such a tool provides a solution to the inherent procyclical bias in BASEL II capital requirements, and can contribute to the safety and soundness of banking institutions. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Ji, Lu. 
700 1 |a Liu, Fei. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2010/167 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2010/167/001.2010.issue-167-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library