The Credit Boom in the EU New Member States : Bad Luck or Bad Policies?

In the past decade, most of the EU New Member States experienced a severe credit-boom bust cycle. This paper argues that the credit boom-bust cycle was to a large extent the result of factors external to the region ('bad luck'). Rapid credit growth followed from a high liquidity in global...

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Bibliographic Details
Corporate Author: International Monetary Fund
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2010/130
Online Access:Full text available on IMF
Description
Summary:In the past decade, most of the EU New Member States experienced a severe credit-boom bust cycle. This paper argues that the credit boom-bust cycle was to a large extent the result of factors external to the region ('bad luck'). Rapid credit growth followed from a high liquidity in global markets and the particular attractiveness of 'new Europe' for capital flows, while the end of the credit cycle was brought about by a global crisis. However, the fact that some countries managed to avoid most of the excesses, including asset price bubbles and foreign exchange lending, suggests that policies and policy failures ('bad policies')-in particular overly expansionary macroeconomic settings and excessively optimistic views on prudential risks-also have played a critical role.
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Physical Description:1 online resource (45 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Access:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students