What Explains the Rise in Food Price Volatility? /

The macroeconomic effects of large food price swings can be broad and far-reaching, including the balance of payments of importers and exporters, budgets, inflation, and poverty. For market participants and policymakers, managing low frequency volatility-i.e., the component of volatility that persis...

Disgrifiad llawn

Manylion Llyfryddiaeth
Prif Awdur: Roache, Shaun
Fformat: Cylchgrawn
Iaith:English
Cyhoeddwyd: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Cyfres:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2010/129
Mynediad Ar-lein:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a What Explains the Rise in Food Price Volatility? /  |c Shaun Roache. 
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490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a The macroeconomic effects of large food price swings can be broad and far-reaching, including the balance of payments of importers and exporters, budgets, inflation, and poverty. For market participants and policymakers, managing low frequency volatility-i.e., the component of volatility that persists for longer than one harvest year-may be more challenging as uncertainty regarding its persistence is likely to be higher. This paper measures the low frequency volatility of food commodity spot prices using the spline- GARCH approach. It finds that low frequency volatility is positively correlated across different commodities, suggesting an important role for common factors. It also identifies a number of determinants of low frequency volatility, two of which-the variation in U.S. inflation and the U.S. dollar exchange rate-explain a relatively large part of the rise in volatility since the mid-1990s. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2010/129 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2010/129/001.2010.issue-129-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library