Vietnam : Bayesian Estimation of Output Gap /

The paper constructs a new output gap measure for Vietnam by applying Bayesian methods to a two-equation AS-AD model, while treating the output gap as an unobservable series to be estimated together with other parameters. Model coefficients are easily interpretable, and the output gap series is cons...

Полное описание

Библиографические подробности
Главный автор: Maliszewski, Wojciech
Формат: Журнал
Язык:English
Опубликовано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Серии:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2010/149
Online-ссылка:Full text available on IMF
Описание
Итог:The paper constructs a new output gap measure for Vietnam by applying Bayesian methods to a two-equation AS-AD model, while treating the output gap as an unobservable series to be estimated together with other parameters. Model coefficients are easily interpretable, and the output gap series is consistent with a broader analysis of economic developments. Output gaps obtained from the HP detrending are subject to larger revisions than series obtained from a suitably adjusted model, and may be misleading compared to the model-based measure.
Примечание:<strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
<strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
Объем:1 online resource (25 pages)
Формат:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Доступ:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students