On the Solvency of Nations : Are Global Imbalances Consistent with Intertemporal Budget Constraints? /

Theory predicts that a nation's stochastic intertemporal budget constraint is satisfied if net exports (NX) and net foreign assets (NFA) satisfy an error-correction specification with a residual integrated of any finite order. We test this hypothesis using data for 21 industrial and 29 emerging...

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Xehetasun bibliografikoak
Egile nagusia: Mendoza, Enrique
Beste egile batzuk: Durdu, Ceyhun Bora, Terrones, Marco
Formatua: Aldizkaria
Hizkuntza:English
Argitaratua: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Saila:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2010/050
Sarrera elektronikoa:Full text available on IMF
Deskribapena
Gaia:Theory predicts that a nation's stochastic intertemporal budget constraint is satisfied if net exports (NX) and net foreign assets (NFA) satisfy an error-correction specification with a residual integrated of any finite order. We test this hypothesis using data for 21 industrial and 29 emerging economies for the 1970-2004 period to search for existence of negative relationship between NX and NFA. The results show that, despite the large global imbalances of recent years, NX and NFA positions are consistent with external solvency. Pooled Mean Group error-correction estimation yields evidence of a statistically significant, negative response of the NX-GDP ratio to the NFA-GDP ratio that is largely homogeneous across countries.
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Deskribapen fisikoa:1 online resource (39 pages)
Formatua:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Sartu:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students