Fiscal Policy in Oil Producing Countries During the Recent Oil Price Cycle.

This paper presents a detailed analysis of the average fiscal policy responses of oil producing countries (OPCs) to the recent oil price cycle. We find that OPCs worsened their non-oil primary balances substantially during 2003-2008 driven by an increase in primary spending. However, this trend was...

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Dettagli Bibliografici
Ente Autore: International Monetary Fund
Natura: Periodico
Lingua:English
Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Serie:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2010/028
Accesso online:Full text available on IMF
Descrizione
Riassunto:This paper presents a detailed analysis of the average fiscal policy responses of oil producing countries (OPCs) to the recent oil price cycle. We find that OPCs worsened their non-oil primary balances substantially during 2003-2008 driven by an increase in primary spending. However, this trend was partially reversed when oil prices went down in 2009. We also find evidence that fiscal policy has been procyclical and has hence exacerbated the fluctuations in economic activity. In addition, we estimate that a small reduction in oil prices could lead to very large financing needs in the near future. Finally, we show that long-term fiscal sustainability positions in OPCs have worsened.
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Descrizione fisica:1 online resource (24 pages)
Natura:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
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