Canada's Potential Growth : Another Victim of the Crisis? /

This study investigates the impact of the current financial crisis on Canada's potential GDP growth. Using a simple accounting framework to decompose trend GDP growth into changes in capital, labor services and total factor productivity, we find a sizeable drop in Canadian potential growth in t...

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Bibliografske podrobnosti
Glavni avtor: Estevao, Marcello
Drugi avtorji: Tsounta, Evridiki
Format: Revija
Jezik:English
Izdano: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Serija:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2010/013
Online dostop:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Canada's Potential Growth :   |b Another Victim of the Crisis? /  |c Marcello Estevao, Evridiki Tsounta. 
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300 |a 1 online resource (29 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
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520 3 |a This study investigates the impact of the current financial crisis on Canada's potential GDP growth. Using a simple accounting framework to decompose trend GDP growth into changes in capital, labor services and total factor productivity, we find a sizeable drop in Canadian potential growth in the short term. The estimated decline of about 1 percentage point originates from a sharply decelerating capital stock accumulation (as investment has dropped steeply) and a rising long-term unemployment rate (which would raise equilibrium unemployment rates). However, over the medium term, we expect Canada's potential GDP growth to gradually rise to around 2 percent, below the pre-crisis growth rate, mostly reflecting the effects of population aging and a secular decline in average working hours. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Tsounta, Evridiki. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2010/013 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2010/013/001.2010.issue-013-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library