The Global Financial Crisis : Explaining Cross-Country Differences in the Output Impact /

We provide one of the first attempts at explaining the differences in the crisis impact across developing countries and emerging markets. Using cross-country regressions to explain the factors driving growth forecast revisions after the eruption of the global crisis, we find that a small set of vari...

תיאור מלא

מידע ביבליוגרפי
מחבר ראשי: Gelos, R.
מחברים אחרים: Berkmen, Pelin, Rennhack, Robert, Walsh, James
פורמט: כתב-עת
שפה:English
יצא לאור: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2009.
סדרה:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2009/280
גישה מקוונת:Full text available on IMF
LEADER 02257cas a2200277 a 4500
001 AALejournalIMF006173
008 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d
020 |c 5.00 USD 
020 |z 9781451874259 
022 |a 1018-5941 
040 |a BD-DhAAL  |c BD-DhAAL 
100 1 |a Gelos, R. 
245 1 4 |a The Global Financial Crisis :   |b Explaining Cross-Country Differences in the Output Impact /  |c R. Gelos, Robert Rennhack, James Walsh, Pelin Berkmen. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2009. 
300 |a 1 online resource (19 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a We provide one of the first attempts at explaining the differences in the crisis impact across developing countries and emerging markets. Using cross-country regressions to explain the factors driving growth forecast revisions after the eruption of the global crisis, we find that a small set of variables explain a large share of the variation in growth revisions. Countries with more leveraged domestic financial systems and more rapid credit growth tended to suffer larger downward revisions to their growth outlooks. For emerging markets, this financial channel trumps the trade channel. For a broader set of developing countries, however, the trade channel seems to have mattered, with countries exporting more advanced manufacturing goods more affected than those exporting food. Exchange-rate flexibility clearly helped in buffering the impact of the shock. There is also some -weaker-evidence that countries with a stronger fiscal position prior to the crisis were hit less severely. We find little evidence for the importance of other policy variables. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Berkmen, Pelin. 
700 1 |a Rennhack, Robert. 
700 1 |a Walsh, James. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2009/280 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2009/280/001.2009.issue-280-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library