Three Cycles : Housing, Credit, and Real Activity /

We examine the characteristics and comovement of cycles in house prices, credit, real activity and interest rates in advanced economies during the past 25 years, using a dynamic generalized factor model. House price cycles generally lead credit and business cycles over the long term, while in the sh...

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Dades bibliogràfiques
Autor principal: Tamirisa, Natalia
Altres autors: Igan, Deniz, Kabundi, Alain, Nadal De Simone, Francisco
Format: Revista
Idioma:English
Publicat: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2009.
Col·lecció:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2009/231
Accés en línia:Full text available on IMF
Descripció
Sumari:We examine the characteristics and comovement of cycles in house prices, credit, real activity and interest rates in advanced economies during the past 25 years, using a dynamic generalized factor model. House price cycles generally lead credit and business cycles over the long term, while in the short to medium term the relationship varies across countries. Interest rates tend to lag other cycles at all time horizons. While global factors are important, the U.S. business cycle, house price cycle and interest rate cycle generally lead the respective cycles in other countries over all time horizons, while the U.S. credit cycle leads mainly over the long term.
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Descripció física:1 online resource (32 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Accés:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students