The Role of Financial Variables in Predicting Economic Activity in the Euro Area /
The U.S. business cycle typically leads the European cycle by a few quarters and this can be used to forecast euro area GDP. We investigate whether financial variables carry additional information. We use vector autoregressions (VARs) which include the U.S. and the euro area GDPs as a minimal set of...
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| מחברים אחרים: | , |
| פורמט: | כתב-עת |
| שפה: | English |
| יצא לאור: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2009.
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| סדרה: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2009/241 |
| גישה מקוונת: | Full text available on IMF |