The Role of Financial Variables in Predicting Economic Activity in the Euro Area /

The U.S. business cycle typically leads the European cycle by a few quarters and this can be used to forecast euro area GDP. We investigate whether financial variables carry additional information. We use vector autoregressions (VARs) which include the U.S. and the euro area GDPs as a minimal set of...

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Hlavní autor: Lombardi, Marco
Další autoři: Espinoza, Raphael, Fornari, Fabio
Médium: Časopis
Jazyk:English
Vydáno: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2009.
Edice:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2009/241
On-line přístup:Full text available on IMF