The Role of Financial Variables in Predicting Economic Activity in the Euro Area /

The U.S. business cycle typically leads the European cycle by a few quarters and this can be used to forecast euro area GDP. We investigate whether financial variables carry additional information. We use vector autoregressions (VARs) which include the U.S. and the euro area GDPs as a minimal set of...

وصف كامل

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Lombardi, Marco
مؤلفون آخرون: Espinoza, Raphael, Fornari, Fabio
التنسيق: دورية
اللغة:English
منشور في: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2009.
سلاسل:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2009/241
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:Full text available on IMF