A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model with Financial-Real Linkages and Oil Prices /
This is the third of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we estimate a small quar...
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| Άλλοι συγγραφείς: | , , |
| Μορφή: | Επιστημονικό περιοδικό |
| Γλώσσα: | English |
| Έκδοση: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2008.
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| Σειρά: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2008/280 |
| Διαθέσιμο Online: | Full text available on IMF |
| Περίληψη: | This is the third of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we estimate a small quarterly projection model of the US, Euro Area, and Japanese economies that incorporates oil prices and allows us to trace out the effects of shocks to oil prices. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques. We show how the model can be used to construct efficient baseline forecasts that incorporate judgment imposed on the near-term outlook. |
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| Περιγραφή τεκμηρίου: | <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required |
| Φυσική περιγραφή: | 1 online resource (74 pages) |
| Μορφή: | Mode of access: Internet |
| ISSN: | 1018-5941 |
| Πρόσβαση: | Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students |