Commodities and the Market Price of Risk /

Commodities are back following a stellar run of price performance, attracting financial investor attention. What are the fundamental reasons to hold commodities? One reason is the exposure offered to underlying risk factors. In this paper, I assess the macro risk exposure offered by commodity future...

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Autor principal: Roache, Shaun
Format: Revista
Idioma:English
Publicat: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2008.
Col·lecció:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2008/221
Accés en línia:Full text available on IMF
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520 3 |a Commodities are back following a stellar run of price performance, attracting financial investor attention. What are the fundamental reasons to hold commodities? One reason is the exposure offered to underlying risk factors. In this paper, I assess the macro risk exposure offered by commodity futures and test whether these risks are priced, using Merton's (1973) intertemporal capital asset pricing model for a sample of commodity prices covering the period January 1973 - February 2008. I find that commodity futures offer a hedge against lower interest rates and that investors are willing to accept lower expected returns for this position. Although some commodities are also a hedge against U.S. dollar depreciation, this risk is not priced. 
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