A Stochastic Framework for Public Debt Sustainability Analysis /

This paper proposes a framework for public debt sustainability analysis (DSA) that is complementary to that generally used by IFIs. The DSA in this paper has three components: (i) an integrated and consistent accounting framework for the Consolidated Public Sector (CPS); (ii) the estimation of an ap...

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Detaylı Bibliyografya
Yazar: Di Bella, Gabriel
Materyal Türü: Dergi
Dil:English
Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2008.
Seri Bilgileri:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2008/058
Online Erişim:Full text available on IMF
Diğer Bilgiler
Özet:This paper proposes a framework for public debt sustainability analysis (DSA) that is complementary to that generally used by IFIs. The DSA in this paper has three components: (i) an integrated and consistent accounting framework for the Consolidated Public Sector (CPS); (ii) the estimation of an appropriate, and country-specific debt threshold, following the approach proposed by Reinhart, Rogoff and Savastano (2003); and (iii) a method for the calculation of the CPS primary balance to achieve the desired debt targets, without resorting to ad-hoc assumptions for the values of the macroeconomic variables during the planning horizon, in the spirit of Garcia and Rigobon (2004) and Celasun, Debrun and Ostry (2006). The paper uses this approach to analyze the sustainability of the Dominican Republic's Public Debt.
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Fiziksel Özellikler:1 online resource (26 pages)
Materyal Türü:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Erişim:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students