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|c 5.00 USD
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|z 9781451866346
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|a 1018-5941
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|a BD-DhAAL
|c BD-DhAAL
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|a Ghosh, Atish.
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|a Modeling Aggregate Use of Fund Resources-Analytical Approaches and Medium-Term Projections /
|c Atish Ghosh, Juan Zalduendo, Manuela Goretti, Bikas Joshi.
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|a Washington, D.C. :
|b International Monetary Fund,
|c 2007.
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| 300 |
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|a 1 online resource (44 pages)
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|a IMF Working Papers
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|a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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|a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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|a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students
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|a This paper presents two approaches to modeling the use of IMF resources in order to gauge whether the recent decline in credit outstanding is a temporary or a permanent phenomenon. The two approaches-the time series behavior of credit outstanding and a two-stage program selection and access model-yield the same conclusion: the use of IMF resources is likely to decline sharply. Specifically, credit outstanding is projected to decline from an average of SDR 50 billion over 2000?05 to SDR 8 billion over 2006?10. Stochastic simulations suggest that it is unlikely to be much higher. These results are based on WEO projections with a correction for historically-observed over-optimistic biases. Alternative scenarios assuming a weaker economic performance or a less benign global environment do not alter these results.
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| 538 |
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|a Mode of access: Internet
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|a Goretti, Manuela.
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|a Joshi, Bikas.
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|a Zalduendo, Juan.
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|a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
|v No. 2007/070
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| 856 |
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|z Full text available on IMF
|u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2007/070/001.2007.issue-070-en.xml
|z IMF e-Library
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