External Linkages and Contagion Risk in Irish Banks /

The large and growing international linkages of big Irish banks expose them to idiosyncratic shocks arising in other countries. We analyze international interdependencies of Irish banks-during both normal times and in periods of large shocks or extreme events-using an existing methodology with dista...

Disgrifiad llawn

Manylion Llyfryddiaeth
Prif Awdur: Mitra, Srobona
Awduron Eraill: Duggar, Elena
Fformat: Cylchgrawn
Iaith:English
Cyhoeddwyd: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2007.
Cyfres:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2007/044
Mynediad Ar-lein:Full text available on IMF
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020 |z 9781451866087 
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100 1 |a Mitra, Srobona. 
245 1 0 |a External Linkages and Contagion Risk in Irish Banks /  |c Srobona Mitra, Elena Duggar. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2007. 
300 |a 1 online resource (38 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a The large and growing international linkages of big Irish banks expose them to idiosyncratic shocks arising in other countries. We analyze international interdependencies of Irish banks-during both normal times and in periods of large shocks or extreme events-using an existing methodology with distance to default (DD) data constructed from the banks' equity prices. The data covers daily observations from January 1994 to November 2005. We first construct rolling correlations between DDs of Irish banks and those of banks from other European countries and the U.S. to analyze trends in cross-country interdependencies. We then use a multinomial logit model to estimate the number of banks in Ireland that experience a large shock on the same day as banks in other countries ("coexceedances"), controlling for Ireland-specific and global factors. We find evidence of increasing cross-border interdependencies over time; differing interlinkage patterns in the pre-Euro, post-Euro, and the post-September 11th periods; and significant cross-border contagion risk from the United Kingdom, the United States, and the Netherlands. This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Duggar, Elena. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2007/044 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2007/044/001.2007.issue-044-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library