Natural-Resource Depletion, Habit Formation, and Sustainable Fiscal Policy : Lessons from Gabon /
While models based on Friedman's (1957) permanent-income hypothesis can provide oilproducing countries with long-run fiscal targets, they usually abstract from short-run costs associated with consolidation. This paper proposes a model that takes such adjustment costs (or "habits") int...
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| Άλλοι συγγραφείς: | |
| Μορφή: | Επιστημονικό περιοδικό |
| Γλώσσα: | English |
| Έκδοση: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2006.
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| Σειρά: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2006/193 |
| Διαθέσιμο Online: | Full text available on IMF |
| Περίληψη: | While models based on Friedman's (1957) permanent-income hypothesis can provide oilproducing countries with long-run fiscal targets, they usually abstract from short-run costs associated with consolidation. This paper proposes a model that takes such adjustment costs (or "habits") into account. Further operational realism is added by permitting differential interest rates on sovereign debt and financial assets. The approach is applied to Gabon, where oil reserves are expected to be exhausted in 30 years. The results suggest that Gabon's current fiscal-policy stance cannot be maintained, while the presence of habits justifies smoothing the bulk of the adjustment toward the sustainable level over three to five years. |
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| Περιγραφή τεκμηρίου: | <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required |
| Φυσική περιγραφή: | 1 online resource (30 pages) |
| Μορφή: | Mode of access: Internet |
| ISSN: | 1018-5941 |
| Πρόσβαση: | Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students |