Capacity Constraints, Inflation and the Transmission Mechanism : Forward-Looking Versus Myopic Policy Rules /

This paper develops a small model of the output-inflation process in the United States in order to examine the implications of alternative monetary policy rules. In particular, two types of policy rules are considered; a myopic rule where interest rates respond contemporaneously to output and inflat...

詳細記述

書誌詳細
第一著者: Clark, Peter
その他の著者: Laxton, Douglas, Rose, David
フォーマット: 雑誌
言語:English
出版事項: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1995.
シリーズ:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1995/075
オンライン・アクセス:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Clark, Peter. 
245 1 0 |a Capacity Constraints, Inflation and the Transmission Mechanism :   |b Forward-Looking Versus Myopic Policy Rules /  |c Peter Clark, Douglas Laxton, David Rose. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 1995. 
300 |a 1 online resource (42 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper develops a small model of the output-inflation process in the United States in order to examine the implications of alternative monetary policy rules. In particular, two types of policy rules are considered; a myopic rule where interest rates respond contemporaneously to output and inflation and a forward-looking policy rule that exploits information about the nature of transmission mechanism in the setting of interest rates. The model has two key features. First, there are significant lags between interest rates and aggregate demand conditions. Second, the model is based on an asymmetric model of inflation where positive deviations of aggregate demand from potential are more inflationary than negative deviations are disinflationary. As a consequence of this asymmetry, a policymaker that follows a myopic policy rule and allows the economy to overheat periodically will be forced to impose large recessions on the economy to keep inflation under control. The paper shows that the estimated degree of asymmetry implies that myopic policies can result in significant permanent losses in output. By contrast, policymakers that follow a forward-looking policy rule that avoids overheating will not only reduce the variance of output but also raise the mean level of output. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Laxton, Douglas. 
700 1 |a Rose, David. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 1995/075 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/1995/075/001.1995.issue-075-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library