Nonlinearity in Deviations From Uncovered Interest Parity : An Explanation of the Forward Bias Puzzle /

We provide empirical evidence that deviations from uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) display significant nonlinearities, consistent with theories based on transaction costs or limits to speculation. This evidence suggests that the forward bias documented in the literature may be less indicative o...

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Dettagli Bibliografici
Autore principale: Valente, Giorgio
Altri autori: Leon, Gene, Sarno, Lucio
Natura: Periodico
Lingua:English
Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2006.
Serie:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2006/136
Accesso online:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Valente, Giorgio. 
245 1 0 |a Nonlinearity in Deviations From Uncovered Interest Parity :   |b An Explanation of the Forward Bias Puzzle /  |c Giorgio Valente, Gene Leon, Lucio Sarno. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2006. 
300 |a 1 online resource (44 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a We provide empirical evidence that deviations from uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) display significant nonlinearities, consistent with theories based on transaction costs or limits to speculation. This evidence suggests that the forward bias documented in the literature may be less indicative of major market inefficiencies than previously thought. Monte Carlo experiments allow us to reconcile these results with the large empirical literature on the forward bias puzzle since we show that, if the true process of UIP deviations were of the nonlinear form we consider, estimation of conventional spot-forward regressions would generate the anomalies documented in previous research. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Leon, Gene. 
700 1 |a Sarno, Lucio. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2006/136 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2006/136/001.2006.issue-136-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library