Fiscal Policy and Interest Rates : How Sustainable Is The 'New Economy'? /

This paper explores the determinants of long-term government bond yields in the Group of Seven (G-7) economies and analyzes the factors that could explain the conundrum of very low rates in the face of a variety of adverse factors in recent years. In particular, the paper focuses on the deterioratin...

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Dades bibliogràfiques
Autor principal: Kumar, Manmohan
Altres autors: Hauner, David
Format: Revista
Idioma:English
Publicat: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2006.
Col·lecció:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2006/112
Accés en línia:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Fiscal Policy and Interest Rates :   |b How Sustainable Is The 'New Economy'? /  |c Manmohan Kumar, David Hauner. 
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490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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520 3 |a This paper explores the determinants of long-term government bond yields in the Group of Seven (G-7) economies and analyzes the factors that could explain the conundrum of very low rates in the face of a variety of adverse factors in recent years. In particular, the paper focuses on the deteriorating fiscal position in the G-7 economies and enquires which factors could have offset their impact on long-term interest rates, and how sustainable they are likely to be. A model of interest rate determination is elaborated and estimated for the G-7, with explicit emphasis on capital flows and public savings. The results suggest a high likelihood of a substantial impact of the weaker budgetary positions in the G-7 on global interest rates when the offsetting unprecedented capital flows slow down. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Hauner, David. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2006/112 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2006/112/001.2006.issue-112-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library