Primary Surplus Behavior and Risks to Fiscal Sustainability in Emerging Market Countries : A "Fan-Chart" Approach /

This paper proposes a probabilistic approach to public debt sustainability analysis (DSA) using "fan charts." These depict the magnitude of risks-upside and downside-surrounding public debt projections as a result of uncertain economic conditions and policies. We propose a simulation algor...

Полное описание

Библиографические подробности
Главный автор: Celasun, Oya
Другие авторы: Debrun, Xavier, Ostry, Jonathan
Формат: Журнал
Язык:English
Опубликовано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2006.
Серии:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2006/067
Online-ссылка:Full text available on IMF