Primary Surplus Behavior and Risks to Fiscal Sustainability in Emerging Market Countries : A "Fan-Chart" Approach /

This paper proposes a probabilistic approach to public debt sustainability analysis (DSA) using "fan charts." These depict the magnitude of risks-upside and downside-surrounding public debt projections as a result of uncertain economic conditions and policies. We propose a simulation algor...

Volledige beschrijving

Bibliografische gegevens
Hoofdauteur: Celasun, Oya
Andere auteurs: Debrun, Xavier, Ostry, Jonathan
Formaat: Tijdschrift
Taal:English
Gepubliceerd in: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2006.
Reeks:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2006/067
Online toegang:Full text available on IMF