Primary Surplus Behavior and Risks to Fiscal Sustainability in Emerging Market Countries : A "Fan-Chart" Approach /

This paper proposes a probabilistic approach to public debt sustainability analysis (DSA) using "fan charts." These depict the magnitude of risks-upside and downside-surrounding public debt projections as a result of uncertain economic conditions and policies. We propose a simulation algor...

詳細記述

書誌詳細
第一著者: Celasun, Oya
その他の著者: Debrun, Xavier, Ostry, Jonathan
フォーマット: 雑誌
言語:English
出版事項: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2006.
シリーズ:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2006/067
オンライン・アクセス:Full text available on IMF