Primary Surplus Behavior and Risks to Fiscal Sustainability in Emerging Market Countries : A "Fan-Chart" Approach /

This paper proposes a probabilistic approach to public debt sustainability analysis (DSA) using "fan charts." These depict the magnitude of risks-upside and downside-surrounding public debt projections as a result of uncertain economic conditions and policies. We propose a simulation algor...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. Verfasser: Celasun, Oya
Weitere Verfasser: Debrun, Xavier, Ostry, Jonathan
Format: Zeitschrift
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2006.
Schriftenreihe:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2006/067
Online Zugang:Full text available on IMF

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