Primary Surplus Behavior and Risks to Fiscal Sustainability in Emerging Market Countries : A "Fan-Chart" Approach /

This paper proposes a probabilistic approach to public debt sustainability analysis (DSA) using "fan charts." These depict the magnitude of risks-upside and downside-surrounding public debt projections as a result of uncertain economic conditions and policies. We propose a simulation algor...

תיאור מלא

מידע ביבליוגרפי
מחבר ראשי: Celasun, Oya
מחברים אחרים: Debrun, Xavier, Ostry, Jonathan
פורמט: כתב-עת
שפה:English
יצא לאור: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2006.
סדרה:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2006/067
גישה מקוונת:Full text available on IMF