Primary Surpluses and sustainable Debt Levels in Emerging Market Countries /

This paper aims to put some constraints on the way primary surpluses are projected when making assessments of public debt sustainability. Projections should be tied either to the country's historical track record in generating surpluses-if the institutional and other factors accounting for this...

Πλήρης περιγραφή

Λεπτομέρειες βιβλιογραφικής εγγραφής
Κύριος συγγραφέας: Ostry, Jonathan
Άλλοι συγγραφείς: Abiad, Abdul
Μορφή: Επιστημονικό περιοδικό
Γλώσσα:English
Έκδοση: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2005.
Σειρά:IMF Policy Discussion Papers; Policy Discussion Paper ; No. 2005/006
Διαθέσιμο Online:Full text available on IMF
Περιγραφή
Περίληψη:This paper aims to put some constraints on the way primary surpluses are projected when making assessments of public debt sustainability. Projections should be tied either to the country's historical track record in generating surpluses-if the institutional and other factors accounting for this track record are expected to persist-or to some model that links primary surpluses to their fundamental determinants, either on the basis of constant institutions and policies or a credible reform program. History-based or model-based primary surplus projections provide a useful benchmark for judging the realism of fiscal forecasts underlying debt sustainability calculations. Together with information on future growth and interest rates, the primary surplus projections can be used to generate measures of overborrowing, and the magnitude of adjustment needed to return debt to a sustainable level.
Περιγραφή τεκμηρίου:<strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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Φυσική περιγραφή:1 online resource (19 pages)
Μορφή:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1934-7456
Πρόσβαση:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students