Characterizing the Expenditure Uncertainties of Industrial Countries in the 21st Century /

A number of uncertainties about long-term expenditure commitments in industrial countries are examined: (i) the assumptions underlying the projections, (ii) the potential to further reduce non-age-related expenditures, (iii) the implicitly assumed absence of "shocks," and (iv) the potentia...

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Hlavní autor: Heller, Peter
Další autoři: Hauner, David
Médium: Časopis
Jazyk:English
Vydáno: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2005.
Edice:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2005/091
On-line přístup:Full text available on IMF
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Shrnutí:A number of uncertainties about long-term expenditure commitments in industrial countries are examined: (i) the assumptions underlying the projections, (ii) the potential to further reduce non-age-related expenditures, (iii) the implicitly assumed absence of "shocks," and (iv) the potential for raising revenue. This paper concludes that (i) there is scope, but within narrow limits, to reduce non-age-related expenditures; (ii) fiscal policy frameworks tend to understate risks; and (iii) prevailing tax rates leave little room for increasing taxation in the countries facing the strongest aging pressures. In sum, governments will have to adopt a much more ambitious fiscal policy stance to cope with aging populations.
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Fyzický popis:1 online resource (34 pages)
Médium:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
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