On Cyclicality in the Current and Financial Accounts : Evidence from Nine Industrial Countries /

The paper investigates cyclical fluctuations in the current and financial (formerly capital) accounts of the balance of payments and major underlying components for nine industrial countries. The empirical model uses as explanatory variables domestic output growth, price inflation, real exchange rat...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Clausen, Jens
Otros Autores: Kandil, Magda
Formato: Revista
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2005.
Colección:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2005/056
Acceso en línea:Full text available on IMF
Descripción
Sumario:The paper investigates cyclical fluctuations in the current and financial (formerly capital) accounts of the balance of payments and major underlying components for nine industrial countries. The empirical model uses as explanatory variables domestic output growth, price inflation, real exchange rate fluctuations, energy price inflation, global growth, and regional growth. The evidence from the estimation of the model indicates the importance of fluctuations in output growth to the cyclicality of the current and financial account balances. The necessary and sufficient condition to sustain a large current account deficit is high domestic growth, which tends to stimulate financial inflows and provides adequate resources for financing. Other factors appear to be less important to the cyclicality of the current and financial account balances and their negative correlations.
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Descripción Física:1 online resource (39 pages)
Formato:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Acceso:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students