Growth Empirics Under Model Uncertainty : Is Africa Different? /

This paper attempts to identify robust patterns of cross-country growth behavior in the world as a whole and Africa. It employs a novel methodology that incorporates a dynamic panel estimator, and Bayesian Model Averaging to explicitly account for model uncertainty. The findings indicate that: (i) i...

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Autor principal: Tsangarides, Charalambos
Format: Revista
Idioma:English
Publicat: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2005.
Col·lecció:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2005/018
Accés en línia:Full text available on IMF
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520 3 |a This paper attempts to identify robust patterns of cross-country growth behavior in the world as a whole and Africa. It employs a novel methodology that incorporates a dynamic panel estimator, and Bayesian Model Averaging to explicitly account for model uncertainty. The findings indicate that: (i) in addition to initial conditions, various economic factors such as higher investment, lower inflation, lower government consumption, better fiscal stance, improved political environment, exogenous terms-of-trade shocks, and fixed geographical factors are robustly correlated with growth; (ii) what is good for growth around the world is, in principle, also good for growth in Africa; and (iii) political and institutional variables are particularly important in explaining African growth. 
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830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2005/018 
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