Do Capital Flows Reflect Economic Fundamentals in Developing Countries? /

This paper proposes a methodology for testing whether capital flows to developing countries are determined by economic fundamentals or by purely speculative forces. We use the intertemporal optimizing approach to current account determination as our benchmark for judging the behavior of capital flow...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Ghosh, Atish
Other Authors: Ostry, Jonathan
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1993.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1993/034
Online Access:Full text available on IMF
Description
Summary:This paper proposes a methodology for testing whether capital flows to developing countries are determined by economic fundamentals or by purely speculative forces. We use the intertemporal optimizing approach to current account determination as our benchmark for judging the behavior of capital flows. According to this approach, capital flows should act as a buffer to smooth consumption in the face of temporary shocks to national cash flow, defined as output less investment less government expenditures. The results are encouraging. For a large sample of developing countries, economic fundamentals are indeed found to be the most important determinant of capital flows.
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Physical Description:1 online resource (46 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Access:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students