'Rules of Thumb' for Sovereign Debt Crises /

This paper contains an empirical investigation of the set of economic and political conditions that are associated with a likely occurrence of a sovereign debt crisis. We use a new statistical approach (Binary Recursive Tree) that allows us to derive a collection of "rules of thumb" that h...

وصف كامل

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Roubini, Nouriel
مؤلفون آخرون: Manasse, Paolo
التنسيق: دورية
اللغة:English
منشور في: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2005.
سلاسل:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2005/042
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a 'Rules of Thumb' for Sovereign Debt Crises /  |c Nouriel Roubini, Paolo Manasse. 
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300 |a 1 online resource (32 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper contains an empirical investigation of the set of economic and political conditions that are associated with a likely occurrence of a sovereign debt crisis. We use a new statistical approach (Binary Recursive Tree) that allows us to derive a collection of "rules of thumb" that help identify the typical characteristics of defaulters. We find that not all crises are equal: they differ depending on whether the government faces insolvency, illiquidity, or various macroeconomic risks. We also characterize the set of fundamentals that can be associated with a relatively "risk free" zone. This classification is important for discussing appropriate policy options to prevent crises and improve response time and prediction. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Manasse, Paolo. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2005/042 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2005/042/001.2005.issue-042-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library