Deriving Market Expectations for the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate from Option Prices /

Option prices provide valuable information on market expectations. This paper attempts to extract market expectations, as conveyed by an implied risk-neutral probability distribution, from option prices for the dollar-euro exchange rate. Returns' volatilities are inferred from observed and inte...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Krichene, Noureddine
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2004.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2004/196
Online Access:Full text available on IMF