Monetary Policy Rules and the U.S. Business Cycle : Evidence and Implications /

This paper estimates Taylor-type interest rates for the United States allowing for both time and state dependence. It provides evidence that the coefficients of the Taylor rule change significantly over time, and that the behavior of the Federal Reserve over the cycle can be explained using a two-st...

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Главный автор: Rabanal, Pau
Формат: Журнал
Язык:English
Опубликовано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2004.
Серии:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2004/164
Online-ссылка:Full text available on IMF
Описание
Итог:This paper estimates Taylor-type interest rates for the United States allowing for both time and state dependence. It provides evidence that the coefficients of the Taylor rule change significantly over time, and that the behavior of the Federal Reserve over the cycle can be explained using a two-state switching regime model. During expansions, the Federal Reserve follows a rule that can be characterized as inflation targeting with a high degree of interest rate smoothing. During recessions, the Federal Reserve targets output growth and conducts policy in a more active manner. The implications of conducting this type of policy are analyzed in a small scale new Keynesian model.
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Объем:1 online resource (27 pages)
Формат:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Доступ:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students