Assessing Early Warning Systems : How Have they Worked in Practice? /
Since 1999, the IMF's staff has been tracking several early-warning-system (EWS) models of currency crisis. The results have been mixed. One of the long-horizon models has performed well relative to pure guesswork and to available non-model-based forecasts, such as agency ratings and private an...
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| 其他作者: | , |
| 格式: | 雜誌 |
| 語言: | English |
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Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2004.
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| 叢編: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2004/052 |
| 在線閱讀: | Full text available on IMF |