Assessing Early Warning Systems : How Have they Worked in Practice? /
Since 1999, the IMF's staff has been tracking several early-warning-system (EWS) models of currency crisis. The results have been mixed. One of the long-horizon models has performed well relative to pure guesswork and to available non-model-based forecasts, such as agency ratings and private an...
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| Other Authors: | , |
| Format: | Journal |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2004.
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| Series: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2004/052 |
| Online Access: | Full text available on IMF |