Assessing Early Warning Systems : How Have they Worked in Practice? /

Since 1999, the IMF's staff has been tracking several early-warning-system (EWS) models of currency crisis. The results have been mixed. One of the long-horizon models has performed well relative to pure guesswork and to available non-model-based forecasts, such as agency ratings and private an...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. Verfasser: Berg, Andrew
Weitere Verfasser: Borensztein, Eduardo, Pattillo, Catherine
Format: Zeitschrift
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2004.
Schriftenreihe:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2004/052
Online Zugang:Full text available on IMF