Models of Inflation and the Costs of Disinflation /

This paper focuses on the output costs of disinflation. A model of inflation with both forward and backward elements seems to characterize reality. Such an inflation model is estimated using data for industrial countries, and the output costs of a disinflation path are calculated, first analytically...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Meredith, Guy
Other Authors: Chadha, Bankim, Masson, Paul
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1991.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1991/097
Online Access:Full text available on IMF
Description
Summary:This paper focuses on the output costs of disinflation. A model of inflation with both forward and backward elements seems to characterize reality. Such an inflation model is estimated using data for industrial countries, and the output costs of a disinflation path are calculated, first analytically in a simple theoretical model, then by simulation of a global, multi-region empirical model. The credibility of a preannounced path for money consistent with the lowest output loss is considered. An alternative, more credible policy may be to announce an exchange rate peg to a low inflation currency.
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Physical Description:1 online resource (34 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Access:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students