Predicting Sovereign Debt Crises /

We develop an early-warning model of sovereign debt crises. A country is defined to be in a debt crisis if it is classified as being in default by Standard and Poor's, or if it has access to nonconcessional IMF financing in excess of 100 percent of quota. By means of logit and binary recursive...

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Détails bibliographiques
Auteur principal: Schimmelpfennig, Axel
Autres auteurs: Manasse, Paolo, Roubini, Nouriel
Format: Revue
Langue:English
Publié: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2003.
Collection:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2003/221
Accès en ligne:Full text available on IMF