Predicting Sovereign Debt Crises /

We develop an early-warning model of sovereign debt crises. A country is defined to be in a debt crisis if it is classified as being in default by Standard and Poor's, or if it has access to nonconcessional IMF financing in excess of 100 percent of quota. By means of logit and binary recursive...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Schimmelpfennig, Axel
Other Authors: Manasse, Paolo, Roubini, Nouriel
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2003.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2003/221
Online Access:Full text available on IMF