China : Macroeconomic Cycles in the 1980's /

This paper explores the links between reforms, macroeconomic management and the occurrence of macroeconomic instability in China during the last decade, drawing upon previous analytical work and also employing the 'Granger causality' test. It is concluded that the cycles did not originate...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Khor, Hoe
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1991.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1991/085
Online Access:Full text available on IMF
Description
Summary:This paper explores the links between reforms, macroeconomic management and the occurrence of macroeconomic instability in China during the last decade, drawing upon previous analytical work and also employing the 'Granger causality' test. It is concluded that the cycles did not originate with the reforms; rather their characteristics were modified by structural changes in the economy. It is further argued that the incompleteness of reforms (which renders macroeconomic management difficult) had the effect of exacerbating the cycles by increasing their amplitude and frequency. Finally, results from the Granger tests suggest that broad money would be a good intermediate target for monetary policy.
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Physical Description:1 online resource (39 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Access:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students